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The Epistemic Structure of Economics Models and the Problem of Confirmation : 경제 모형의 인식적 구조와 입증 문제
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- Authors
- Advisor
- 한성일
- Major
- 인문대학 철학과
- Issue Date
- 2017-08
- Publisher
- 서울대학교 대학원
- Keywords
- 입증 경제 모형 인식적 구조 베이즈주의
- Description
- 학위논문 (박사)-- 서울대학교 대학원 인문대학 철학과, 2017. 8. 한성일.
- Abstract
- We propose that confirmation on economics models has a distinctive two-layered espistemic structure. That is, we analyze that the econometrician as the outside observer interferes with the very model she is observing. We further argue that, due to this structure and the impossibility of knowing the true probability distribution, the Market Selection Hypothesis (MSH) is not directly confirmable from data. We provide a formal proof of this result in the framework of a Bayesian confirmation model.
- Language
- English
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