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A Taiwan Strait Conflict Simulation Model

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Authors
Wolfe, Wojtek M.
Issue Date
2010-06
Publisher
Institute of International Affairs, Graduate School of International Studies, Seoul National University
Citation
Journal of International and Area Studies, Vol.17 No.1, pp. 31-53
Keywords
ChinaTaiwanconflictprospect theoryriskformal theory
Abstract
This paper proposes a simulation model to better understand the likelihood of conflict. It applies cognitive bias to an expected utility model to provide more specific option outcomes. The Taiwan Strait provides the case study, however, any possible conflict scenario can be used. The results show a diminished probability of conflict in the Taiwan Strait.
ISSN
1226-8550
Language
English
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10371/96488
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Graduate School of International Studies (국제대학원)Dept. of International Studies (국제학과)Journal of International and Area StudiesJournal of International and Area Studies vol.17 (2010)
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