S-Space Graduate School of International Studies (국제대학원) Dept. of International Studies (국제학과) Journal of International and Area Studies Journal of International and Area Studies vol.17 (2010)
A Taiwan Strait Conflict Simulation Model
- Wolfe, Wojtek M.
- Issue Date
- Institute of International Affairs, Graduate School of International Studies, Seoul National University
- Journal of International and Area Studies, Vol.17 No.1, pp. 31-53
- This paper proposes a simulation model to better understand the likelihood of conflict. It applies cognitive bias to an expected utility model to provide more specific option outcomes. The Taiwan Strait provides the case study, however, any possible conflict scenario can be used. The results show a diminished probability of conflict in the Taiwan Strait.
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