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A Taiwan Strait Conflict Simulation Model
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- Authors
- Issue Date
- 2010-06
- Citation
- Journal of International and Area Studies, Vol.17 No.1, pp. 31-53
- Keywords
- China ; Taiwan ; conflict ; prospect theory ; risk ; formal theory
- Abstract
- This paper proposes a simulation model to better understand the likelihood of conflict. It applies cognitive bias to an expected utility model to provide more specific option outcomes. The Taiwan Strait provides the case study, however, any possible conflict scenario can be used. The results show a diminished probability of conflict in the Taiwan Strait.
- ISSN
- 1226-8550
- Language
- English
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