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Development of Flood Management Decision Support Framework Using Nomographs Based on Multi-dimensional Hydrologic Models : 다차원 수문모델 기반 노모그래프를 이용한 홍수관리 의사결정지원 체계 개발

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dc.contributor.advisor서일원-
dc.contributor.author박상근-
dc.date.accessioned2017-07-13T06:41:37Z-
dc.date.available2017-07-13T06:41:37Z-
dc.date.issued2017-02-
dc.identifier.other000000141535-
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10371/118750-
dc.description학위논문 (박사)-- 서울대학교 대학원 : 건설환경공학부, 2017. 2. 서일원.-
dc.description.abstractRecently activities in the rivers are rapidly increased in our country, the demand for information about river flood also surged. So decision makers of flood control organization have to consider more needs and more complex environmental aspects. Conventionally flood forecast in
South Korea means forecasting the time and the amount of flood peak, but we need new decision support framework which can suggest the possibility of inundation, deciding dam release amount and the weir operational water level.
In this study, several tools(runoff estimation, inundation simulation, distributed rainfall-runoff model using rain radar data, the effect of storm direction) are used to simulate more than 12,000 flood situations.
Based on these results, we set threshold discharge amount Qth which cause the specific flood events like inundation. And using threshold discharge, the decision makers can decide dam release amount and weir
operation plan.
This study suggest the threshold Q nomograph just using rainfall and dam release amount. Also this study suggest nomograph to decide dam release amount considering heavy rainfall announcement. And using estimated Q, This study suggest nomograph which can be used as decision making tools for floodplain inundation considering Gongju weir operational water level. Finally GUI program was made to estimate flood situation easily just selecting rainfall, dam release amount and weir operational water level. And the I-D-Q curves are applied to compare flood forecasting accuracy.
These multi-dimensional hydrologic model based Nomographs and GUI program are more helpful to local government in charge of the flood prevention.
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dc.description.tableofcontentsChapter 1. Introduction 1
1.1 Background and Necessity 1
1.2 Purpose of the Study 5

Chapter 2. Theoretical Background 8
2.1 Status of Flood Prediction Decision Support System 8
2.1.1 Hydrologic Flood Analysis Model 8
2.1.2 Hydraulic Flood Analysis Model 22
2.1.3 Inundation Analysis Considering River Flood 31
2.1.4 Analysis of Influence on the Storm Direction 39
2.2 Flood Forecasting Decision Making Plan 50
2.2.1 Conventional Flood Decision Making Process 50
2.2.2 Nomograph 53
2.2.3 Flood Forecasting based on Rainfall Scenario 59

Chapter 3. Multi-dimensional Flood Analysis 65
3.1 Target Area overview 65
3.1.1 Meteorological Observatories at Target Watershed 68
3.1.2 Water Level Gauging Station at Target Watershed 70
3.2 Precipitation Conditions 72
3.3 Flood Simulation 80
3.3.1 Flood Simulation Condition 80
3.3.2 Flood Result 84
3.4 Inundation Simulation 90
3.4.1 Inundation Simulation Technique 90
3.4.2 Construction of Flood Simulation Method 91
3.5 Impact Analysis of Rain Direction 100
3.5.1 Flow Direction 101
3.5.2 Rainfall Direction 106
3.5.3 Slope 108
3.5.4 Infiltration 110
3.5.5 Roughness Coefficient 112
3.5.6 Calibration of Distributed Model 114

Chapter 4. Development of Flood D.B. 117
4.1 Inundation Simulation Results 117
4.1.1 1-Dim. Inundation Simulation Result 117
4.1.2 2-Dim. Inundation Simulation Result 130
4.2 Analysis of Rainfall and Channel Runoff Direction 134
4.2.1 Changing Direction of Rainfall for Flood Events 134
4.2.2 Flood Runoff Analysis Using Distributed Model 136
4.2.3 Relationship between Rainfall and Main Flow Direction 164

Chapter 5. Flood Management Decision Framework 165
5.1 Flood - Inundation Area Decision Making System 165
5.2 Decision Making framework 170
5.2.1 Estimation of Threshold Flood 170
5.2.2 Flood Inundation by Weir Operational Water Level 181
5.3 Verification of Flood Simulation Results 189
5.3.1 Hydrological Status of Flood Events at Gongju 189
5.3.2 Verification of Simulated Flood at Gongju 198
5.4 GUI for Decision Making Framework 219

Chapter 6. Summary and Conclusion 220
6.1 Summary 221
6.2 Conclusion 222
6.3 Future Study 224

Bibliography 225
요 약 234
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dc.formatapplication/pdf-
dc.format.extent47540579 bytes-
dc.format.mediumapplication/pdf-
dc.language.isoen-
dc.publisher서울대학교 대학원-
dc.subjectNomograph-
dc.subjectThreshold Discharge-
dc.subjectStorm Direction-
dc.subjectI-D-Q curve-
dc.subjectDecision Support for Local Government-
dc.subject.ddc624-
dc.titleDevelopment of Flood Management Decision Support Framework Using Nomographs Based on Multi-dimensional Hydrologic Models-
dc.title.alternative다차원 수문모델 기반 노모그래프를 이용한 홍수관리 의사결정지원 체계 개발-
dc.typeThesis-
dc.description.degreeDoctor-
dc.citation.pages235-
dc.contributor.affiliation공과대학 건설환경공학부-
dc.date.awarded2017-02-
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