Artificial intelligence-based radiographic extent analysis to predict tuberculosis treatment outcomes: a multicenter cohort study

Abstract

Predicting outcomes in pulmonary tuberculosis is challenging despite effective treatments. This study aimed to identify factors influencing treatment success and culture conversion, focusing on artificial intelligence (AI)-based chest X-ray analysis and Xpert MTB/RIF assay cycle threshold (Ct) values. In this retrospective study across six South Korean referral centers (January 1 to December 31, 2019), we included adults with rifampicin-susceptible pulmonary tuberculosis confirmed by Xpert assay from sputum samples. We analyzed patient characteristics, AI-based tuberculosis extent scores from chest X-rays, and Xpert Ct values. Of 230 patients, 206 (89.6%) achieved treatment success. The median age was 61 years, predominantly male (76.1%). AI-based radiographic tuberculosis extent scores (median 7.5) significantly correlated with treatment success (odds ratio [OR] 0.938, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.895-0.983) and culture conversion at 8 weeks (liquid medium: OR 0.911, 95% CI 0.853-0.973; solid medium: OR 0.910, 95% CI 0.850-0.973). Sputum smear positivity was 49.6%, with a median Ct of 26.2. However, Ct values did not significantly correlate with major treatment outcomes. AI-based radiographic scoring at diagnosis is a significant predictor of treatment success and culture conversion in pulmonary tuberculosis, underscoring its potential in personalized patient management.