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The role of media in the repression-protest exus: A game-theoretic model

Cited 10 time in Web of Science Cited 12 time in Scopus
Authors

Kim, HeeMin; Whitten-Woodring, Jenifer; James, Patrick

Issue Date
2015-09
Publisher
SAGE Publications
Citation
Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol.59 No.6, pp.1017-1042
Abstract
Idealized independent media function as watchdogs. Indeed, human rights non-governmental organizations have argued that media freedom will improve human rights. This makes sense intuitively, yet recent formal and empirical studies show that the effect of independent media varies across regime types. We explore the relationship among media, government, and citizen protest movements and employ a game-theoretic model to investigate how the equilibria vary depending on regime type and media independence. In terms of equilibrium, we find that media watchdogging is most active in autocracies (and not in democracies), especially when the government's perceived capability to repress public protest is declining. Uncertainty about the government's ability to repress plays a central role in accounting for the manifestation of media watchdogging in conjunction with public protest. Illustrations from Tunisia and North Korea are provided to highlight equilibria derived from the formal model that vary as a product of perceptions about the government's ability to repress.
ISSN
0022-0027
URI
https://hdl.handle.net/10371/95465
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002713520481
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