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The U.S. and Taiwan Trade Balance Revisited : A Comparison of the Instrument Variable and the VAR Models

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Authors
Huang, BwoNung; Sohng, SoongNark; Yang, ChinWei
Issue Date
1999
Publisher
Seoul Journal of Economics
Citation
Seoul Journal of Economics 12 (No. 3 1999): 271-294
Keywords
Taiwan economic growth; interest rate; skyrocket
Abstract
The single factor that lies at the core of Taiwan's remarkable economic growth is sustained export growth. During the past twenty-five years, the balance of trade between the U.S. and Taiwan has its share of volatility. Taking variables from different theories, we employ the instrument variable and the VAR model to dissect the problem. It ought to be pointed out that the private sector interest rate instead of the official rate plays a key role in the model. The substantial investment in mainland China from Taiwan has distorted the trade balance picture.
ISSN
1225-0279
Language
English
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10371/1161
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College of Social Sciences (사회과학대학)Institute of Economics Research (경제연구소)Seoul Journal of EconomicsSeoul Journal of Economics vol.12(3) (Fall 1999)
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