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Export Contribution of the Hydrocarbon Sector : 탄화수소 부문의 수출 기여도 : MENA의 경제에 대한 사례 연구
DC Field | Value | Language |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.advisor | Kim Yeonbae | - |
dc.contributor.author | 모핸드 | - |
dc.date.accessioned | 2017-07-14T02:34:11Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2017-07-14T02:34:11Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2014-02 | - |
dc.identifier.other | 000000017564 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/10371/122643 | - |
dc.description | 학위논문 (석사)-- 서울대학교 대학원 : 협동과정 기술경영전공, 2014. 2. Kim Yeonbae. | - |
dc.description.abstract | This study was based on a similar research by Subhes C. Bhattacharyya and Andon Blake (2010), which analysed how the oil export dependencies of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) regions oil producers had evolved over the past three decades, and which identified the main growth-driving factors from an energy policy perspective. This paper analyses the oil export dependence of each economy in terms of a multiplicative identity that captures the effective export price, export-to-primary oil supply ratio, oil dependence, and oil export intensity of the country. This paper, however, also incorporates certain relevant variations in terms of data scope and methodology to suit the recent development trends. Essentially, the number of countries was increased to include Oman, which is currently a major oil exporter. Further, instead of the Laspeyres index methodology, as in the case of the main reference text, this paper employed the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) primarily for perfect decomposition as the method does not allow for the existence of unexplained residuals. Again, the research includes an analysis of gas, with focus on Algeria and Qatar, two of the leading gas exporters at present. The reason for such inclusion is that gas is a major determinant of the state of the economy of these two countries. Finally, the research was updated by using the most recently available data (1980-2011). | - |
dc.description.tableofcontents | Abstract ii
Table of Contents iv List of Tables vii List of Figures viii Chapter1. Introduction 1.1 Overall introduction 1 1.2 Historical context of oil and gas in the MENA countries 5 Chapter2. Methodology 2.1 Data sources and collection 9 2.2 The basic approaches 10 2.3 Overview of the methodology 12 2.3.1 IDA approach 12 2.3.2 Decomposition of energy consumption change 13 2.3.3 General formulae of LMDI 15 Chapter3. Trends in the Oil Export Revenue Contributing Factors 3.1 Oil export revenue, GDP, and prices 19 3.1.1 Oil export revenue 19 3.1.2 Economic growth in the MENA oil- and gas-exporting countries (1980-2011) 21 3.2 Oil export contribution of MENA 22 3.3 Analysis of the components of MENAs oil export revenue contribution 25 3.3.1 The factors affecting the oil export price 25 3.3.2 Oil export importance ratio 27 3.3.3 Oil dependence (oil share) 30 3.3.4 Energy intensity 34 Chapter4. Decomposition Analysis of the Oil Export Revenue Contribution 4.1 Influence of the export price on the export revenue contribution 38 4.2 Influence of the change in the oil export importance 40 4.3 Influence of the changes in oil dependence 43 4.4 Energy intensity effect 45 4.5 Factors comparison during the last period (2007-2011) 48 4.6 Scenario of low energy intensity and the mean oil importance level in the sample 53 4.7 Comparison of the Study Findings and the Results Obtained by Subhes C. Bhattacharyya and Andon Blake (2010) 56 Chapter5. Trends and Decomposition Analysis of the Gas Export Revenue Contribution 5.1 Trends in the contributing factors for gas export revenue 61 5.2 Decomposition analysis of the gas export revenue contribution 65 5.2.1 Influence of the export price on the export revenue contribution 65 5.2.2 Influence of the change in the gas export importance 66 5.2.3 Influence of the changes in gas dependence 66 5.2.4 Energy intensity effect 67 5.3 Alternative scenarios for Algerias gas export 69 Chapter6. Conclusion and Recommendations 73 References 78 Appendix A: 81 Appendix B: 82 Appendix C: 84 Appendix D: 84 Appendix E: 85 Appendix F: 88 | - |
dc.format | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.extent | 5887033 bytes | - |
dc.format.medium | application/pdf | - |
dc.language.iso | en | - |
dc.publisher | 서울대학교 대학원 | - |
dc.subject | Oil and gas export contribution | - |
dc.subject | decomposition analysis | - |
dc.subject | MENA countries | - |
dc.subject | Log Mean Divisia Index | - |
dc.subject.ddc | 658 | - |
dc.title | Export Contribution of the Hydrocarbon Sector | - |
dc.title.alternative | 탄화수소 부문의 수출 기여도 : MENA의 경제에 대한 사례 연구 | - |
dc.type | Thesis | - |
dc.contributor.AlternativeAuthor | Mohand Akli Aoumer | - |
dc.description.degree | Master | - |
dc.citation.pages | 98 | - |
dc.contributor.affiliation | 공과대학 협동과정 기술경영전공 | - |
dc.date.awarded | 2014-02 | - |
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