Expanding vegetated areas by human activities and strengthening vegetation growth concurrently explain the greening of Seoul

Abstract

Many studies have reported that urbanization leads to a decrease in the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) due to the expansion of impervious cover. Some studies, however, have reported positive NDVI trends in urban areas due to warming and CO2 fertilization effects, as well as the creation of green space. Thus, we examined spatial and temporal variations of the growing season maximum NDVI in a megacity, Seoul, which has rapidly urbanized over the past decades, by analyzing a 32-year time series (1987 - 2018) of Landsat satellite images in Google Earth Engine. Continuous change detection and classification and random forest algorithms were integrated to classify Seoul land cover types annually. We found an overall increasing NDVI trend at the city scale (0.002 yr(-1)). Significant NDVI trends were found for approximately 46 % of Seoul, with greening and browning trends accounting for 39 % and 7 %, respectively. Greening pixels appeared mainly on impervious (23 % with a significant NDVI trend), deciduous (10 %), and evergreen (3 %) land cover as of 2018. Stable impervious, deciduous, and evergreen land cover pixels showed a greening trend over the 32 years (0.002 yr(-1)), which stemmed from the planting of trees in areas with impervious cover, such as streets and residential areas, and vegetation growth in forest areas. Disturbed area pixels showed fluctuating NDVI values, but there were more greening pixels (20 %) than browning pixels (5 %). Our findings indicate that a detailed knowledge of land use and land cover changes is required to understand NDVI trends in urban areas.