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Validation of a 37-year Metocean Hindcast along the U.S. Atlantic Coast

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Authors

Qiao, Chi; Myers, Andrew T.; Arwade, Sanjay R.

Issue Date
2019-05-26
Citation
13th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering(ICASP13), Seoul, South Korea, May 26-30, 2019
Abstract
A numerical model is implemented using Mike 21 to estimate metocean conditions to evaluate hurricane risk for the 22 proposed wind energy areas along the U.S. Atlantic coast. A metocean hindcast study is conducted using this model for the period between 1979 and 2015 when atmospheric conditions are available as part of the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) study. These atmospheric conditions are used as input to the Mike 21 model, and the model results are compared with measurements of wind speed and significant wave height from five offshore buoys and of water level from three onshore stations. The predictions match the measurements reasonably well. The model is then applied to generate maps of wind speeds and wave heights with a 50-year return period, based on annual maxima of wind and wave.
Language
English
URI
https://hdl.handle.net/10371/153554
DOI
https://doi.org/10.22725/ICASP13.476
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