Application of the Khorana score for cancer-associated thrombosis prediction in patients of East Asian ethnicity undergoing ambulatory chemotherapy

Abstract

Background The Khorana score (KS) has not been well studied in East Asian cancer patients, who have different genetic backgrounds for inherited thrombophilia, body metabolism, and cancer epidemiology.

Methods By using the Common Data Model, we retrospectively collected deidentified data from 11,714 consecutive newly diagnosed cancer patients who underwent first-line chemotherapy from December 2015 to December 2021 at a single institution in Korea, and we applied the KS for cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT) prediction. Age at diagnosis, sex, and use of highly thrombogenic chemotherapeutics were additionally investigated as potential risk factors for CAT development.

Results By 6 months after chemotherapy initiation, 207 patients (1.77%) experienced CAT. Only 0.4% had a body mass index (BMI) ≥ 35 kg/m2 and changing the cutoff to 25 kg/m2 improved the prediction of CAT. Age ≥ 65 years and the use of highly thrombogenic chemotherapeutics were independently associated with CAT development. KS values of 1 ~ 2 and ≥ 3 accounted for 52.3% and 7.6% of all patients, respectively, and the incidence of CAT in these groups was 2.16% and 4.16%, respectively, suggesting a lower incidence of CAT in the study population than in Westerners. The KS component regarding the site of cancer showed a good association with CAT development but needed some improvement.

Conclusion The KS was partially validated to predict CAT in Korean cancer patients undergoing modern chemotherapy. Modifying the BMI cutoff, adding other risk variables, and refining the use of cancer-site data for CAT risk prediction may improve the performance of the KS for CAT prediction in East Asian patients.