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기대성 충격으로서의 미국 경기선행지표 : The U.S. LeadingIndicator as a Source of Expectational Shocks
| DC Field | Value | Language |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.author | 오성환 | - |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2014-03-21T01:33:06Z | - |
| dc.date.available | 2014-03-21T01:33:06Z | - |
| dc.date.issued | 2000 | - |
| dc.identifier.citation | 미국학, Vol.23, pp. 127-146 | - |
| dc.identifier.issn | 1229-4381 | - |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/10371/91112 | - |
| dc.description.abstract | A current theme in the literature on business cycle fluctuations is the
importance of expectational shocks that change the beliefs of agents concerning the future level of aggregate activity, but which do not reflect real movements in the fundamentals. In this paper, we employ the ASANBER survey of professional forecasters to investigate the extent to which errors in the initial announcements of the index of leading economic indicators are a source of this type of expectational shock. We investigate the time period 1968-1990 and find that these errors are an important source of such shocks after 1976. | - |
| dc.language.iso | ko | - |
| dc.publisher | 서울대학교 미국학연구소 | - |
| dc.title | 기대성 충격으로서의 미국 경기선행지표 | - |
| dc.title.alternative | The U.S. LeadingIndicator as a Source of Expectational Shocks | - |
| dc.type | SNU Journal | - |
| dc.contributor.AlternativeAuthor | Oh, Sunghwan | - |
| dc.citation.journaltitle | 미국학 | - |
| dc.citation.endpage | 146 | - |
| dc.citation.pages | 127-146 | - |
| dc.citation.startpage | 127 | - |
| dc.citation.volume | 23 | - |
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